marc marc
marc
marc marc
blog about books journalism speaking contact

Merrill Lynch’s green metrics

Imagine, if you will, a world in which public companies would be rewarded by investors for being well-prepared to deal with climate change.

Investors who look at traditional ways to value companies— their price/earnings ratios, return on invested capital or revenues per employee — would also calculate how much revenue or profit a company generates for each ton of CO2 emissions. A low Rev/CO2 or Rev/EBITDA ratio would be a sign of risk, evidence that a company would struggle to cope with the higher costs imposed by carbon regulation.

This isn’t my idea, or the brainchild of an environmental group. These “green metrics” are being put forward by Merrill Lynch in a 40-page report called “Combating Climate Change – Opportunities and Risks.” The Merrill report argues that smart companies need to get ahead of the curve and prepare for a carbon-constrained world. (I couldn’t find the report online but there’s a press release here.) The report comes from equity analysts Zoe Knight and Asari Efiong, who are based in London. They write:

Corporates are identifying the wider benefits of adopting a proactive environmental stance; namely higher operational efficiencies prior to legislative changes, opportunities to help shape government policy, lower risk from supply chain and workforce disruption, and demand drivers from a ‘climate aware’ consumer. In effect, the benefits of addressing environmental externalities are beginning to outweigh the costs, with intangible benefits a key driver.

In other words, being green is good for business.

This is not stop-the-presses news. Groups like CERES, the coalition of investors and environmentalists, have pushed companies for years to report on how they are preparing for climate change. Innovest Strategic Advisors, which rates companies on their environmental and social performance, has built an entire business on the idea that environmental strategies matter to investors. DuPont, GE and Wal-Mart have touted their sustainability initiatives.

Still, anytime a long-term issue like climate change gets the attention of Wall Street, which typically promotes short-term thinking, punishing companies that don’t hit or exceed their quarterly targets, that’s worth noting. This week, too, Citigroup came out with a climate change policy, committing $50 billion in investment over the next decade. (More on that, I hope, in a few days.)

The Merrill report looks at greenhouse gas emissions in the UK, EU, U.S. and China. Using data collected by the four-year-old Carbon Disclosure Project, Merrill goes so far as to calculate a Rev/CO2 ratio for the companies on its “Europe 1” list of top ideas from ML European research analysts. Merrill found that

Many companies on the Europe 1 list are detailed and quantitative in their approach to environmental data reporting, which would support the thesis that a proactive environmental stance results in a higher quality business operations since these companies are ML analyst best ideas.

Again, none of this is earth-shattering. But it is evidence that we are moving closer to the day when investors will reward companies who lead the way on environmental issues, and penalize the laggards. That will be a very big deal.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Print
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Twitter
  • email
  • RSS
  • StumbleUpon

2 Responses to “Merrill Lynch’s green metrics”

  1. Chris McKnett says:

    Thanks Marc. The point here is not the level of sophistication with which this is being done, but that it is in fact being done, one, and that Merrill is doing it, two. Please let us know if you locate the report.

  2. John Flowers says:

    Just thought you might be interested–here’s a link to the report in pdf format, “Combating Climate Change – Opportunities and Risks”:
    http://www.ml.com/media/80331.pdf

Leave a Reply